Can a leak be stupid calls late in MTTs? How does one explain at one time being a chip-leader with almost 20k in chips while 2nd has 9k, and out of 60 people end up finishing 10th?
What happens is everytime I think im being sneaky and slow-playing a possible monster i get crushed.
The hand I busted on was As-Ks. Actyper raised to 3x BB, and I re-raised him 3.5 times more. He was the chip leader at 39k, and i had 26k at the start (good for like 3rd or 4th).
Flop is Js-Kx-5s. I figure this is my dream flop, top pair, top kicker, with the nut flush draw. So I promised myself next time I had a monster, I would play it just like I missed the flop completely. I bet 2k into 1 10k pot. Act called.
Turn 5x. I figure I have to be good now if hes just calling me. So I check (just like I had done previously when I missed. He checks along with me.
Last time we got to this spot with A-Q I rivered an Ace, bet 2k again, he raised to 8k and I called. We both had A-Q. This time I didnt put him on A-Q. With a raise from him pre-flop as the chip leader I couldnt say A-J was out of the ordinary, and he was calling along hoping I was bluffing. So anyway, I bet out 2k again, thinking id just get a call. He thinks about it for a long time then re-raises all-in for 31k. Fishy fishy fishy. You dont raise all-in like that as a chip leader unless you think im really gonna call (if you have a made hand)or you have Air and are trying to get me off my hand.
The thing is, I thought about this call a while, I checked th eleader board and my chip stack. If I fold I have 18k in chips good enough still for 5th place. Its costing me basically 18k into a 34k pot. If I win I have 52k in chips and a better than avergae shot to win this thing. So after a few more seconds of thought I end up calling figureing it has to be a bluff of some kind. Quad 5s.
Kicking myself the rest of the night for doing that. I could have just folded to the gd money as it was only 2 spots away.
Well at least I got some points...whoop dee doo.
So I headed off to the 2/4 h/l stud tables and made my Hoy buy-in back and went to bed.
Skillz tonight, Omaha H/L nl? Should be interesting.